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2026 Alien Abduction Odds Index – U.S. States Rankings

13 April, 2026
Article
Research
National

DC
United States

2026 Alien Abduction Odds Index – U.S. States Rankings

RankStateImplied ProbabilityOdds
1New Hampshire2.00%1 in 50
2Idaho1.90%1 in 53
3Vermont1.79%1 in 56
4Maine1.78%1 in 56
5Oregon1.68%1 in 60
6Washington1.66%1 in 60
7Montana1.64%1 in 61
8Wyoming1.47%1 in 68
9Arizona1.44%1 in 70
10Connecticut1.43%1 in 70
11Hawaii1.40%1 in 71
12West Virginia1.39%1 in 72
13Colorado1.36%1 in 74
14Alaska1.30%1 in 77
15Arkansas1.29%1 in 78
16Nevada1.29%1 in 78
17California1.28%1 in 78
18Florida1.25%1 in 80
19Pennsylvania1.22%1 in 82
20Delaware1.14%1 in 88
21Ohio1.13%1 in 89
22Utah1.12%1 in 90
23Rhode Island1.10%1 in 91
24Missouri1.09%1 in 92
25New York1.08%1 in 92
26Kentucky1.07%1 in 93
27Tennessee1.05%1 in 96
28Kansas1.03%1 in 97
29South Carolina1.03%1 in 97
30Alabama1.01%1 in 99
31Oklahoma1.00%1 in 100
32New Jersey0.99%1 in 101
33South Dakota0.97%1 in 103
34Virginia0.96%1 in 104
35Wisconsin0.95%1 in 105
36Massachusetts0.95%1 in 105
37Georgia0.93%1 in 108
38Maryland0.93%1 in 108
39Michigan0.93%1 in 108
40Texas0.91%1 in 110
41North Carolina0.91%1 in 110
42Illinois0.87%1 in 115
43Iowa0.87%1 in 115
44North Dakota0.85%1 in 118
45Louisiana0.84%1 in 119
46Minnesota0.83%1 in 121
47Mississippi0.79%1 in 127
48Nebraska0.70%1 in 143
49Indiana0.40%1 in 250
50New Mexico0.23%1 in 431
 
 

Key Notes

  • New Hampshire (#1) leads with the highest per-capita UFO reports (24.34 per 100,000 residents).
  • Wyoming stands out in the top 10 for the highest percentage of reports involving abduction-style claims (~25%).
  • Lower-ranked states tend to be larger-population ones where reports are spread more thinly.
  • The study emphasizes these are reporting patterns only, not predictions of actual events.

Original Study Link: https://www.canadasportsbetting.ca/news/research/alien-abduction-odds-2026/ Ohio Coverage: https://spectrumnews1.com/oh/columbus/news/2026/02/09/study-aliens-ohio-likelihood

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